2020 is projected to be another very warm year, but this time without a strong El Niño signal. The Met Office forecasts the global average temperature for 2020 to be between 0.99 °C and 1.23 °C - with a central estimate of 1.11 °C - above the pre-industrial average period from 1850–1900.
Since July 2019, the tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures have mostly remained at ENSO-neutral levels (i.e., neither El Niño nor La Niña conditions were considered to have occurred), though briefly approaching El Niño thresholds in October-November 2019, and again in January 2020.
Earth just had its second-warmest December-February on record. Only the El-Niño-fueled winter of 2015-16 was warmer. Some of the most extreme warmth was in Russia, which smashed its record for warmest winter. Thanks to human-caused global warming, "this period is now the warmest in the history of modern civilization.
moderate to extreme drought covers 10.8% of the United States including Puerto Rico, an increase from last week's 9.6%According to the March 10, 2020, U.S. Drought Monitor, moderate to extreme drought covers 10.8% of the United States including Puerto Rico, an increase from last week's 9.6%.
Highest minimum temperature ever recorded the Northern Hemisphere in January: 29.1°C (84.4°F) at Bonriki, Kiribati, 17 January. Highest maximum temperature ever recorded in North America in January: 42.0°C (107.6°F) at Vicente Guerrero, Mexico, 21 January.
Uncertainties arise for Spring 2020, as the Polar Vortex starts to behave unusually. It turns bizarrely symmetrical and also cold enough to start the rare Ozone destruction process over the North Pole! We have talked a lot about the polar vortex this season, and its powerful run, which is far from over.
The warmth was blown into the Northeast by the jet stream, the powerful atmospheric current that drives weather patterns across the continent. In the winter it usually allows cold air masses to descend from Canada, but lately it has been pushing very warm air northeastward from the Gulf of Mexico.
Climate change and the jet stream
Rising global temperatures from global warming are affecting the jet stream and, in turn, the weather. Because the Earth's polar regions are warming more quickly than the rest of the world, the temperature contrast that drives jet streams has decreased.For the United States, The Old Farmer's Almanac is predicting no fewer than seven snowstorms this winter! At least three snowstorms are predicted in late March and April. Spring skiing in 2020 may be the best ever!
According to the 2020 Farmers' Almanac, this winter will be filled with so many ups and downs on the thermometer, it may remind you of a “Polar Coaster.” “Our extended forecast is calling for yet another freezing, frigid, and frosty winter for two-thirds of the country,” shares Editor Peter Geiger, Philom.
While spells of rain and strong winds are predicted for the later half of the month, especially in the north-west, no serious snowfall is currently being anticipated.
Oh Snow not again! Beast from the East to Return in 2020. According to climate experts, quoted in leading newspapers, Britain is facing a new Beast from the East with predictions that it could be one of the coldest winters in 30 years.
Farmers' Almanac forecast: Colder and snowier than usual
For winter 2019-20, it says the country should expect a “polar coaster” with ups and downs all season. Specifically, the almanac says the Northeast can expect colder-than-average temperatures and above-normal precipitation – meaning a good accumulation of snow.According to the 2020 Farmers' Almanac, this winter will be filled with so many ups and downs on the thermometer, it may remind you of a “Polar Coaster.” “Our extended forecast is calling for yet another freezing, frigid, and frosty winter for two-thirds of the country,” shares Editor Peter Geiger, Philom.
Several analyses of the accuracy of weather forecasts in the Old Farmer's Almanac have indicated their predictions are about 52 percent correct in their day-to-day forecasts. Their seasonal forecasts score better. In general, National Weather Service forecasts, both short and long term, are much more accurate.
Most of the country is "unlikely" to see a white Christmas. A white Christmas is defined as having 1 inch of snow on the ground on the morning of Dec.
UV Exposure May Curb Coronavirus Spread but Farmer's Almanac Calls for Rainy Spring. On March 19th, 2020 at exactly 11:50 p.m. EDT spring, believe it or not, sprung. This according to the 2020 Farmer's Almanac, which says that this year's Spring Equinox is the earliest in 124 years.
2020 expected to be Earth's warmest year on record, scientists say. This year's warmth is "unusual," given the lack of a strong El Niño. Already, through the first three months of the year, it's the second-warmest on record. There's a 99.9% chance that 2020 will end among the five warmest years on record.
August 2020
Most of the Lower 48 will likely have above-average conditions as the summer ends. Temperatures will be the farthest above average in parts of the Northwest. A few areas may trend near average or slightly warmer. August 2020 temperature outlook from The Weather Company, an IBM Business.Meteorologists say 2020 on course to be hottest year since records began. This year is on course to be the world's hottest since measurements began, according to meteorologists, who estimate there is a 50% to 75% chance that 2020 will break the record set four years ago.
August 2020
Most of the Lower 48 will likely have above-average conditions as the summer ends. Temperatures will be the farthest above average in parts of the Northwest. A few areas may trend near average or slightly warmer. August 2020 temperature outlook from The Weather Company, an IBM Business.2019 as ranked by other scientific organizations
NASA scientists, who conducted a separate but similar analysis, concurred with NOAA's ranking. NASA also found that 2010-2019 was the hottest decade ever recorded.2020 is projected to be another very warm year, but this time without a strong El Niño signal. The Met Office forecasts the global average temperature for 2020 to be between 0.99 °C and 1.23 °C - with a central estimate of 1.11 °C - above the pre-industrial average period from 1850–1900.
The climate phenomenon, characterized by warming in the eastern tropical Pacific, tends to give the global average annual temperature a boost by releasing heat from the ocean. Scientists were already expecting it to lift 2019 into near-record warm territory, and the Berkeley Earth analysis underscores that.
The Met Office annual global temperature forecast for 2020 suggests that next year will once again extend the series of the earth's hottest years, since records began in 1850. 2020 is projected to be another very warm year, but this time without a strong El Niño signal.
Temperature Defined
Temperature is a measure of how hot or cold something is; specifically, a measure of the average kinetic energy of the particles in an object, which is a type of energy associated with motion. The terms hot and cold are not very scientific terms.The meteorological winter (December through February) of 1935/36 was the coldest on record for Iowa, Minnesota, North Dakota, and South Dakota.
Saturday was coldest day of 2020. It's well known that one swallow doesn't make a summer, nor can a single day like Saturday provide Washington with a fully-furnished winter. But it is also true that it was cold and that since December, no colder day has come our way.
Warmest years
| Rank | Year | Anomaly °F |
|---|
| 1 | 2016 | 1.69 |
| 2 | 2019 | 1.67 |
| 3 | 2015 | 1.62 |
| 4 | 2017 | 1.51 |
February 1936 was the coldest February on record in the contiguous U.S., narrowly eclipsing February 1899. The meteorological winter (December through February) of 1935/36 was the coldest on record for Iowa, Minnesota, North Dakota, and South Dakota.
According to NOAA, there's a 0.11 percent chance that 2019 will wind up as the warmest year on record, but a greater than 99.9 percent chance of a top 5 warmest year. The most likely range is between the second and fourth warmest year on record, the agency stated in its monthly climate report.
In the U.S., 2019 was the 34th warmest year on record, going back to 1895, but the year was the warmest on record for Alaska, North Carolina, and Georgia. As detailed in a January 8 post by Weather Underground's Bob Henson, 2019 was the 2nd wettest year in U.S. history.
The reason temperatures have been so high is the direction our air is coming from. Temperatures are further boosted by something known as the foehn effect, when air warms as it flows down the lee side of mountains. All of this combined with the sunshine has produced something quite remarkable for February.
